The Amazon rainforest could face a renewed surge of deforestation as efforts grow to overturn a long-standing ban that has protected it.
The ban - which prohibits the sale of soya grown on land cleared after 2008 - is widely credited with curbing deforestation and has been held up as a global environmental success story.
But powerful farming interests in Brazil, backed by a group of Brazilian politicians, are pushing to lift the restrictions as the COP30 UN climate conference enters its second week.
Critics of the ban say it is an unfair cartel which allows a small group of powerful companies to dominate the Amazon's soya trade.
Environmental groups have warned removing the ban would be disaster, opening the way for a new wave of land grabbing to plant more soya in the world's largest rainforest.
Scientists say ongoing deforestation, combined with the effects of climate change, is already driving the Amazon towards a potential tipping point – a threshold beyond which the rainforest can no longer sustain itself.
Brazil is the world's largest producer of soya beans, a staple crop grown for its protein and an important animal feed. Much of the meat consumed in the UK – including chicken, beef, pork, and farmed fish - is raised using feeds that include soya beans, about 10% of which are sourced from the Brazilian Amazon.
Many major UK food companies, including Tesco, Sainsbury's, M&S, Aldi, Lidl, McDonald's, Greggs, and KFC, support the ban, known as the Amazon Soy Moratorium, arguing it helps protect UK soya supply chains from deforestation.
Public opinion in the UK appears to back protecting the Amazon, with a majority in favor of government action to eliminate illegal deforestation from supply chains.
However, Brazilian opponents of the agreement are demanding that the Supreme Court reopen investigations into the moratorium, arguing it hinders agricultural development in the state.
Experts warn that lifting the moratorium could lead to catastrophic environmental impacts, including significant biodiversity loss and altered weather patterns across regions supported by the Amazon.
This potential policy shift comes alongside Brazil's plans for a new railway that could facilitate easier transport of agricultural goods, further complicating the protective measures in place for the rainforest.
Time is critical as scientists indicate that deforestation is reshaping the Amazon in ways that could push it towards irreversible ecological changes.

















