**Germany's Intelligence Agency Weighs Heavy on Lab-Leak Theory of COVID-19 Origin**

Fri Jul 18 2025 23:58:39 GMT+0300 (Eastern European Summer Time)
**Germany's Intelligence Agency Weighs Heavy on Lab-Leak Theory of COVID-19 Origin**

Germany's BND suggests strong probability of lab accident, stirring ongoing debate on pandemic origins.


Recent findings indicate German intelligence believed in the likelihood of COVID-19's lab origin, amidst ongoing controversies and varying scientific views.

Germany's foreign intelligence agency, BND, reportedly assessed that there was an 80-90% chance that the COVID-19 pandemic originated from an accidental leak at a Chinese laboratory, according to disclosures from two German newspapers. This internal assessment, conducted in 2020, highlights concerns surrounding the Wuhan Institute of Virology's experiments that aimed to modify viruses to enhance human transmissibility.

Despite this strong indication, China continues to firmly deny any lab-related origins, asserting that the true cause must be determined through comprehensive scientific investigations. The Chinese government references a World Health Organization (WHO) inquiry that deemed the lab leak theory as "extremely unlikely".

The ambiguity surrounding the origins of the COVID-19 virus persists, with a lack of consensus among scientists. While the lab leak theory has faced scrutiny, it gained traction among some intelligence agencies and was echoed by the US CIA in early 2022, indicating that the virus's release from a lab could be more plausible than it having originated from animal populations.

Details of the BND's analysis were reportedly shared during a meeting in Berlin as part of an operation dubbed Project Saaremaa, with various safety violations noted at the Wuhan laboratory. The findings were to be aligned with then-Chancellor Angela Merkel's office but remained undisclosed until recent leaks.

In the wake of these claims, China's foreign ministry stressed that investigations into the origins of COVID-19 should be conducted scientifically, rejecting any political narrative surrounding lab-related theories. The controversy is compounded by ongoing debates regarding the WHO's earlier conclusions, with criticisms highlighting their inadequacy in thoroughly exploring the lab-leak hypothesis.

As the scientific community continues to grapple with the unresolved origins of COVID-19, proponents of the natural origin hypothesis maintain that the virus likely emerged from bats, potentially infiltrating human hosts through an intermediary species. However, sustained genetic research has yet to identify the virus in bats or other animals, resulting in growing skepticism regarding the established narrative.

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