# The Political Calculations Behind Israel's Gaza Conflict: Netanyahu's Gamble for Power

Fri Jul 18 2025 03:18:38 GMT+0300 (Eastern European Summer Time)
# The Political Calculations Behind Israel's Gaza Conflict: Netanyahu's Gamble for Power

Prime Minister Netanyahu's negotiations and political maneuvers during the Gaza conflict reveal the intricate balance of power and risk involved in conflict resolution.


With insights gathered from numerous officials and documents, this article explores Netanyahu's strategic decisions impacting peace and regional stability.

In June 2025, as the Gaza Strip continues to suffer under the weight of conflict, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu stands at a crossroads that could not only change the course of the war but also influence his political future. Amid negotiations for a cease-fire with Hamas, the Prime Minister's approach hints at the delicate intricacies that define his leadership during this crisis.

In the early months of the conflict, Netanyahu appeared ready to transition toward peace talks. A cease-fire agreement was on the table, promising to halt hostilities in exchange for the release of hostages and a pause in the devastating bombings that had turned Gaza into rubble. This would create space for broader negotiations, potentially allowing for a historic peace agreement between Israel and Saudi Arabia – an alliance long sought since the nation’s establishment.

However, Netanyahu faced mounting internal pressure from far-right ministers in his coalition government. Many within his cabinet were staunch advocates for expanding Israeli settlements into Gaza, aiming to prolong military engagement rather than seek peace. As negotiations started to ebb, Netanyahu shifted tactics, keeping the ceasefire discussions off the official agenda to preempt resistance from his cabinet. His reluctance was grounded in fear; advancing negotiations could risk his political stability and the fragile support from his coalition allies.

Amid cabinet discussions, the atmosphere became tense when Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich intercepted the conversation to vehemently oppose any notion of compromise with Hamas. Expressing alarm regarding rumors of a cease-fire, Smotrich's warning to Netanyahu underscored the fragile nature of the coalition: "If a surrender agreement like this is brought forward, you no longer have a government,” he stated firmly. The implications were clear: any step back from military action could unleash a torrent of political setbacks for Netanyahu.

Despite the potential humanitarian benefits of negotiating peace, the political calculus facing Netanyahu grows increasingly complex. With corruption trials looming over his political career, the stakes were not just about strategy but also personal survival. Corruption charges pending against him from 2020 could threaten his political existence if he were to become unelected. His power was pivotal in stalling judicial actions against his prosecution.

As the Gaza conflict continues, Netanyahu's path reflects the intricate dynamics of power, fear, and the reluctant push for peace amid deep-seated political rivalries. The potential for a cease-fire and ensuing negotiations remains fraught with risk, a stark reminder of the high-stakes game played behind the scenes in the pursuit of both political and humanitarian objectives. Each choice resonates beyond the battlefield, intertwining the future of an entire region with individual ambition and societal demand for peace.

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